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Thread: Possible Asteroid Collision with Earth in 2030

  1. #1
    Join Date
    Mar 2008
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    Default Possible Asteroid Collision with Earth in 2030

    Looks like its Russia to the rescue...

    http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/wir...ide-with-earth

    "a deflecting mission to the Apophis asteroid and would invite NASA, the European Space Agency, the Chinese space agency and others to join the project once it is finalized."

    Apophis asteroid on Wiki...
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/99942_Apophis

    So here are the statistics per NASA JPL http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb.cgi?sstr=99942

    Size: ~270 meters (~880 feet)
    Period: 0.89 Years (Note the closeness to the Earth's solar period 1.0)
    Distance from Sun: 1.098796069866035 AU (note the closeness to the Earth's Solar distance 1.0)

    Impact Energy: 880 megatons (Thats BAD)
    Point of comparison: The 1883 eruption of Krakatoa was the equivalent of roughly 200 megatons

    Odds of Impact:
    As of October 7, 2009, refinements to the precovery images of Apophis by the University of Hawaii's Institute for Astronomy, the 90-inch Bok Telescope, and the Arecibo Observatory have generated a refined path that reduces the odds of a April 13, 2036 impact to about 1 in 250,000.

    Point of comparison:
    Odds of winning MEGA MILLIONS (Mass Lottery) for a $1 bet 1 in 175,711,536

    Conclusion:
    This would be the SAME odds as spending $703 on MEGA MILLIONS for one drawing.
    So, the odds are small but most people don't spend that much money on one game.

    Happy New Year 2010 !

  2. #2
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    Jul 2008
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    Default

    The good news would be that my retirement savings need only last 19 years, and that I could kite checks during the 20th.

  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Steve Perlman View Post
    The good news would be that my retirement savings need only last 19 years, and that I could kite checks during the 20th.
    Sorry Steve that won't work. About a year or two before the end of all humans on Earth (bugs will still be here afterwards of course), there will be total chaos, a breakdown of society and primitive survival instincts will kick in. Money will be worthless and the monetary system will be based on guns, ammo, water and food. The best strategy will be to become very politically connected and hitch a ride on that international Noah's Ark which will take a chosen few off Earth to continue humanity elsewhere in the universe.

    Perhaps, however... with enough money in advance, you might buy a seat on Richard Branson's Virgin Galactic Enterprises version of that Noah's Ark. These seats will be reserved for the ultra wealthy but without the proper genetics. http://www.solarnavigator.net/virgin_space_travel.htm

    Hope the Russians know what they are doing when they try to nudge that rock out there.

  4. #4
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    Jul 2008
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    Hmm .... guess I'll have to accelerate my plan to attain dominance over the planet.

  5. #5
    Join Date
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Steve Perlman View Post
    Hmm .... guess I'll have to accelerate my plan to attain dominance over the planet.
    Yes, please do and please remember me and take me along on the Ark.

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